Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.055285 0.065601 0.077184 0.091135 0.107464 0.125956 0.148466
2025-04-13 0.037631 0.050285 0.066133 0.087364 0.114984 0.149612 0.196230
2025-04-20 0.029342 0.043036 0.061709 0.088870 0.127177 0.179055 0.254381
2025-04-27 0.023677 0.037550 0.057859 0.089484 0.137150 0.205896 0.312027
2025-05-04 0.019604 0.033296 0.054625 0.089860 0.146099 0.231704 0.370954
2025-05-11 0.016744 0.030245 0.052477 0.091191 0.156198 0.259959 0.436652
2025-05-18 0.014839 0.028348 0.051739 0.094453 0.169511 0.294499 0.516182
2025-05-25 0.012344 0.024904 0.047739 0.091397 0.171546 0.310537 0.566822
2025-06-01 0.010729 0.022767 0.045663 0.091323 0.178569 0.335563 0.635436
2025-06-08 0.009256 0.020621 0.043191 0.090052 0.183071 0.356424 0.698767
2025-06-15 0.008389 0.019549 0.042609 0.092292 0.194404 0.390866 0.790757
2025-06-22 0.007341 0.017888 0.040562 0.091234 0.199014 0.412984 0.861617
2025-06-29 0.006318 0.016116 0.038049 0.088925 0.200969 0.430559 0.926532
2025-07-06 0.005384 0.014378 0.035331 0.085761 0.200701 0.443671 0.984147
2025-07-13 0.004902 0.013646 0.034775 0.087356 0.210969 0.479695 1.093383
2025-07-20 0.004421 0.012824 0.033868 0.087984 0.219116 0.512069 1.198389
2025-07-27 0.003987 0.012039 0.032922 0.088359 0.226693 0.543995 1.305881
2025-08-03 0.003650 0.011456 0.032388 0.089671 0.236655 0.582333 1.431923
2025-08-10 0.003433 0.011171 0.032586 0.092881 0.251677 0.633933 1.593984
2025-08-17 0.002987 0.010118 0.030543 0.089874 0.250635 0.647554 1.668153
2025-08-24 0.002705 0.009511 0.029635 0.089801 0.257154 0.680091 1.791305
2025-08-31 0.002417 0.008820 0.028375 0.088550 0.260371 0.704800 1.897816
2025-09-07 0.002265 0.008553 0.028321 0.090755 0.273277 0.755327 2.074448